Home | Geopolitics

USA AND TALIBAN:
WHO THE SUDDEN TRUCE IS TARGETED AGAINST?

USA AND TALIBAN: WHO THE SUDDEN TRUCE IS TARGETED AGAINST?

The US two wars fighting capability concept, that has been fundamental until recently, is revisioned. But it’s an interesting fact the number of US enemies keeps growing. The strategic adversaries like China and Russia aside, Syria and Iran are the countries military strikes are seriously planned against in the nearest future. It makes it two theaters of operations at least. If the US military is to wage only one war, than who is going to fight the other one?

It looks like the US government decided to start the new year by introducing drastic changes into the foreign policy ideology. The "fight against terrorism" the US has lived with for the last ten years starting from 9/11 is to go into archive. It happens that the Afghan Taliban, a friend of late Osama bin Laden, is not a US enemy. This sensational statement came from US vice president Joseph Biden, who said: "Look, the Taliban per se is not our enemy. That’s critical. There is not a single statement that the president has ever made in any of our policy assertions that the Taliban is our enemy because it threatens U. S. interests." He went on. "If, in fact, the Taliban is able to collapse the existing government, which is cooperating with us in keeping the bad guys from being able to do damage to us, then that becomes a problem for us."

The statement raised a lot of noise, first of all in the USA itself. Naturally people started to ask questions — if that is the case then what the US army is actually doing in Afghanistan, who the battle is waged against? It’s well known the international coalition death toll is about 3000. The Republican presidential candidates used the statement to their advantage. Obama was blamed for being too soft and betraying the heroic efforts of the whole nation. The Joe Biden’s comment required more explanations. The White House spokesman Jay Carney said that what Joe Biden was actually saying was that the US was fighting the Taliban, but the elimination of the movement was not the issue. The ultimate goal was the Al Qaeda’s defeat and assistance to Afghanistan in its stabilization efforts. That’s what the US was up to.

It’s possible this explanation will require a comment too. Many people will find it difficult to understand how you can fight someone who is not the issue? How the Taliban could be distinguished from Al Qaeda, especially keeping in mind Osama bin Laden personally financed the Taliban, his bond with Mullah Omar, the Taliban leader, is strengthened by family ties. According to Joe Biden the president never said the Taliban threatened the US interests. One thing is left to be made precise — who of the presidents did Joe Biden mean? The war in Afghanistan started, former president George Bush, JR, left a solid heritage of saying things about the Taliban. Visiting Afghanistan in December 2008 he said the Taliban was a force persistently disseminating death. He never spared epithets actually.

The president of the democratic Afghanistan himself fervently supported him saying the Taliban toppled one of the main tasks of international community was to assist Afghanistan in its efforts to stand up on his own feet. In addition, George Bush said the Taliban’s overthrow made possible the construction of hundreds of roads, hospitals and schools in Afghanistan. Thus no way the former US president was friendly towards the Taliban or the Taliban’s role in the Afghanistan’s internal affairs was positive.

Moreover the ex president’s administration regularly sent ultimatums to the Taliban. The first one on September 20, 2001. Addressing the both houses of Congress and American people he promulgated demands to the Taliban. The first and foremost demand was to give away all Al Qaeda leaders hiding in Afghanistan as well as all foreigners, including US citizens, that were held against the law in the Taliban’s jails.

Washington put forward a demand to close all terrorists training camps in the country immediately and forever and to transfer terrorists to the corresponding state law enforcement agencies. He demanded open entry to the camps to make sure they didn’t function. He said the Taliban was to act right away. The demands were not open for discussions and were not to be negotiated. George Bush said publicly those days the USA didn’t declare war against the people of Afghanistan but rather on the Al Qaeda headed by Osama bin Laden and the Taliban regime.

The Taliban never reacted. The US invasion made it hide and launch guerilla warfare. It conducted wide scale terrorist operations against the USA and its real and potential allies. The death toll is hard to count. According to the estimations of the US sources, probably minimized, the number of dead civilians is about 40000. About one third of them were victims of air strikes delivered by international coalition, the major part lost lives in terrorist and subversive acts, committed by the Taliban.

It makes one guess why the Syrian president Assad’s rule is seen as evil and the Taliban’s activities are looked at as something neutral in substance? The Syrian leader is blamed for lack of democracy and authoritarian rule, clamp down on freedom of speech and so on. As is known the Taliban controlled areas are subject to terror, even shooting children is not a rare occasion. The reasons for killings are diversified, starting from belonging to families which members work in official government structures to learning English language. The Taliban’s systematic and sequential discrimination of women is also known, 99% among those of them who live in the Taliban controlled territories are illiterate.

One way or another vice president Joe Biden and White House spokesman Jay Carney think the Taliban is not a US enemy anymore. Though the Taliban seems not to know it, continuing to attack US convoys and roadblocks. On the other hand there are a lot of claims to the Taliban the US voters can raise after dealing with it during the last ten years. So how to explain the present abrupt turn by the US administration?

There have been US foreign policy flips and flops before. President Truman once elected said all president Roosevelt’s agreements were invalid and ordered to start war preparations against the Soviet Union. WWII didn’t slide into WWIII because the US military top brass explained to their president the Soviet Union was too strong and victory over Japan without it was hard to achieve. Besides the public opinion would have hardly supported such dramatic foreign policy changes while at war with Germany.

The Taliban is on the UN most dangerous terrorist organizations list. UNESCO has its claims to the Taliban too. February 26, 2001 Mullah Omar came out with a decree to eliminate all non Muslim monuments in the country. As a result two giant Buddha’s statues in Bamiyan mountain area were destroyed. They were dated III and IV centuries AD. As one can see the whole US information power is to tackle the mission of Taliban’s whitewashing and finding convincing arguments to make the Taliban look better than it is.

The mission is not easy to accomplish. Say what to do with opium poppy crops? They were eliminated under the Taliban rule but came up unprecedented shoots after its end meeting the CIA interests. That made Afghanistan the world number one heroin supplier. Now the process has come to the stage when Qatar is ready to represent the Taliban during talks with the USA. Hamid Karzai, who expressed his solidarity with president Bush in his antipathy towards the Taliban just a few years ago, welcomed the Qatar’s decision and the beginning of peaceful settlement between the Taliban and the USA.

As is known the US contacts with militant radicals are intensified when Washington needs experts to carry out mission "too dirty" to be tackled at state level. January 5 the BBC reported the USA is going to cut the armed forces strength within the framework of federal budget deficit shrinkage in the decade to come. The fundamental during recent years concept, that envisaged the capability to fight two simultaneous wars, is reconsidered. The Army and Marine Corps budgets are to go down by 10-15% in the coming decade. That means cutting their strength by dozens of thousand of commissioned officers and rank and file.

But it’s an interesting fact the number of US enemies keeps growing. The strategic adversaries like China and Russia aside, Syria and Iran are the countries military strikes are seriously planned against in the nearest future. It makes it two theaters of operations at least. If the US military is to wage only one war, than who is going to fight the other one?

Will the Taliban and their numerous supporters in Arab countries become this unknown actor? The Taliban is a Sunni organization and it sees the Shiite Iran as an unfriendly state. The same thing happens in Syria where the Alawites are in power threatened by genocide on the part of radicals as we mentioned before. Mamun al-Homsi, one of the opposition leaders, a former Syrian parliament member, spreads around calls to the Syrian Alawites to stop president’s support. He says in case of refusal Syria will become a cemetery for them.

In case the previous forecasts concerning Syria and Iran are right then an armistice between the USA and the Taliban becomes logical. Not to mention the fact the Taliban can be used to pressure Pakistan that closed the transit through its territory for the USA as well as far away regions of China.

 

 

 

RSS Twitter Facebook
 
 

Similar entries

  • At the 48 Munich security conference China’s Vice Foreign Minister Zhang Zhijun said China’s involvement into global security grows along with its economic might. He emphasized there were no reasons for the situation to get worse. In response US senator John McCain decided to make the Chinese official know his place. The Senator said as he had said many times and would repeat it again «the Arab Spring is coming to China». The ex US presidential candidate told the Chinese diplomat there was no way to suppress it due to the up-to-date gadgets and showed his cell phone as an example. He said he hoped China would develop the way Mr. Zhang Zhijun told the conference because good will and peaceful relations were common goal. He added: «Knowing your neigbours in the region as I do there is great concern about some of your activities».

  • Algerian militants are tightly bound to the Special Services of certain Gulf States, pursuing their own goals. Time of peace for Algerian is at an end. Talkative Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi has indirectly confirmed it, announcing his intention to replace the Algerian gas with Libyan one soon enough. Mind that Algeria as a supplier has never left a handle for reproaches.

  • It was in Cairo where a Saudi prince made public the sensational news about the existence of Qatar — Israel conspiracy. He came there to express protest concerning the decision of the king of Saudi Arabia to appoint Saudi Amir (Prince) Nayef bin Abdul Aziz an heir to the throne bypassing his five older brothers, including Amir Talal. So President Assad gets one more ace — the growing tension in the states that have played the most important role in all Arab revolutions until now.

  • The most likely contender for the throne, Nayef bin Abdel-Aziz al Saud, is a hardcore adherent of the Saudi hegemony. His coming to power will accelerate the creation of a "new Caliphate" founded upon the GCC, including Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, the United Arab Emirates, Oman and Saudi Arabia. Moreover, this union will be expanded on the account of Jordan and Morocco. It goes without saying that Nayef will attempt to give the GCC nuclear program a kick-start, although proceeding from what we already know, it’s clear that in a year (two at most) we’re to hear the official statement that the "new Caliphate" disposes nuclear weapon.

  • The Hormuz Strait closure by Iran will mainly benefit US oil companies and defense industry. The action will spark a crisis that would make easier to find a solution to the US economic woes and even create an opportunity to curtail its huge external debt.

In this section

USELESS MISSILE DEFENSE «SECRETS». WHAT’S BEHIND ANOTHER US «GOOD WILL GESTURE?»
The US national missile defense, especially its European component, is one of the major irritants in the Russia — US bilateral relations. The USA insists it is created to counter the threat coming from Iran and North Korea. Russia says geography, physics laws, and irrefutable facts clearly indicate the system is aimed at Russia not Iran. It makes its legitimate concern justified.

 

BASHAR ASSAD’S ODDS. No unity as used to be in "Friends of Syria" ranks
It was in Cairo where a Saudi prince made public the sensational news about the existence of Qatar — Israel conspiracy. He came there to express protest concerning the decision of the king of Saudi Arabia to appoint Saudi Amir (Prince) Nayef bin Abdul Aziz an heir to the throne bypassing his five older brothers, including Amir Talal. So President Assad gets one more ace — the growing tension in the states that have played the most important role in all Arab revolutions until now.

 

«ARAB SPRING» EXPORTED TO CHINA: THE USA EYES TIBET, XINJIANG AND CELLPHONES
At the 48 Munich security conference China’s Vice Foreign Minister Zhang Zhijun said China’s involvement into global security grows along with its economic might. He emphasized there were no reasons for the situation to get worse. In response US senator John McCain decided to make the Chinese official know his place. The Senator said as he had said many times and would repeat it again «the Arab Spring is coming to China». The ex US presidential candidate told the Chinese diplomat there was no way to suppress it due to the up-to-date gadgets and showed his cell phone as an example. He said he hoped China would develop the way Mr. Zhang Zhijun told the conference because good will and peaceful relations were common goal. He added: «Knowing your neigbours in the region as I do there is great concern about some of your activities».

 

DO US SPECIAL OPERATIONS FORCES SEIZE LIBYAN KEY OIL INFRASTRUCTURE ASSETS?
The unexpectedly quick EU consent to take immediate sanctions against Iran "coincided" with seizure of Libyan oil terminals. To certain extent the negative affect of expected oil shortage for European economy could be minimized in case the utmost is done to boost the Brega and Ras-Lanuf production capacities till the complete cessation of contacts with Iran is in force.

 

USA AND TALIBAN: WHO THE SUDDEN TRUCE IS TARGETED AGAINST?
The US two wars fighting capability concept, that has been fundamental until recently, is revisioned. But it’s an interesting fact the number of US enemies keeps growing. The strategic adversaries like China and Russia aside, Syria and Iran are the countries military strikes are seriously planned against in the nearest future. It makes it two theaters of operations at least. If the US military is to wage only one war, than who is going to fight the other one?

 

LIBYA: SUCCESS IS NEVER BLAMED, ISN’T IT?
The laws of information war are merciless. Today almost no one remembers the February-March accusations of Gaddafi. This seems to be the same kind of incident as the "search of the WMD" in 2003, which caused the American and British invasion or the "mass execution of peaceful Albanians" by Serbian security forces in Kosovar settlement Račak in 1999. At that the issue of moral responsibility of Western politicians, diplomats, and media-holding companies has never ever been put to the agenda of the day. The globalized West sticks to "the end justifies the means" principle and is sure that success is never blamed.

 

RUSSIA AS THE GUARANTOR OF EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SAFETY. Regional presence of Moscow will reduce the risk of conflict in the Turkey — Cyprus — Israel — Syria square
The new power, designed to secure peace and stability in the Eastern Mediterranean, is to put itself forth with strength and energy. We have to say that Russia fits the role just fine. At that, Russia also has economic incentives to carry out active policy in that direction. It is well-known that Syria is going to develop trade relations with the Customs Union.

 

THE U.S. ELECTIONS. CAINE AND ROMNEY: Two GOP trends
According to the recent public opinion polls, merely 37% believe that Barack Obama will win the elections. 55% believe that the next U.S. President is to be Republican. Now it would be good to figure out, who may actually become this Republican President, what principles will his policy rest upon and what is the Russia’s place in it.

 

AMERICAN SPRING. Mass protests are spreading over the West, while Ayatollah Khamenei prophecies the collapse of global capitalism
The U.S. and especially the EU authorities are willing save the operation ability of the current economic system and its institutions, although the stabilization efforts are often late, while their realization is often complicated by internal and external reasons. Interests of supranational alignments, national elites, major corporations, middle class and the poor clash in a Gordian knot of a conflict. There’s a great shortage of the available financial resources and, which is the most important, the time itself. Theoretically the situation still may be fixed, albeit the practical chance of achieving the desired result is dismal.

 

ALEXANDRE LATSA: ARCTIC AGE. Part II
During the Cold War era the Arctic was considered to be the shortest route to attack the enemy, but now the ongoing climate changes (global warming and glacier meltdown) revive the heated interest towards this region as long as new naval trade routes between the West and Asia emerge — they’re shorter, more lucrative and safer (due to lack of piracy). Actually, since 1979 the area of Arctic glaciers has decreased by 20% and it is to decrease by 50% more by 2100.

 

.