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According to the recent public opinion polls, merely 37% believe that Barack Obama will win the elections. 55% believe that the next U.S. President is to be Republican. Now it would be good to figure out, who may actually become this Republican President, what principles will his policy rest upon and what is the Russia’s place in it.

On 5 Oct U.S. President Barack Obama was interviewed by the ABC channel and Yahoo! President answered plenty of questions, mostly devoted to the economic situation, ways to deal with it and other topical matters. He was also asked, whether he’s ready to become a "one-term President"? Obama replied: "It’s hard to reckon more than that in the current economic situation. I don’t care if people think that I’m a loser. I’ve got used to that. I don’t thinks that American living standards improved during the last years. We’ve managed to stabilize the economy but the unemployment is still too high" — he admitted. Thus, American leader acknowledged that the probability of his reelection is not that obvious.

Public opinion polls prove it. The main domestic-policy ace of the American President — health-care reform he initiated — is disputed in the Supreme Court. Senate hasn’t given the consent for bringing the measures he proposed to increase the welfare and fight unemployment to life. Voters’ disappointment is no longer in the "quite" phase and America was seized by the "Occupy Wall Street" protests. There are certain foreign-policy achievements, all right: the beginning of the formal "reset", START treaty and the memorable assassination of the "terrorist #1" Osama bin Laden. Yet, according to the recent public opinion polls, merely 37% believe that Barack Obama will win the elections. 55% believe that the next U.S. President is to be Republican.

Now it would be good to figure out, who may actually become this Republican President, what principles will his policy rest upon and what is the Russia’s place in it. For quite a time Senator John McCain was the Republican frontman, a huge fan of everything hostile to Russia. The last elections were McCain’s swan song, though. His age is the respect-arousing 75 years, which, however, seem to be a critical mark. That’s why the GOP candidate at the forthcoming elections will either be the most famous Mormon politician in America Mitt Romney or the new star of the Republican Party, restaurant keeper, banker and mathematician Herman Cain, who has never participated in political battles before. Texas governor Rick Perry has been considered the third favorite for quite a time, but when it was revealed that in Texas cost university education for illegal immigrants is the same as for locals (what a painful blow for conservative Americans) his chances are rather dim. Right-wing electorate doesn’t forgive eases that question the privileged status of the conservative middle class.

Herman Cain is willing to concentrate upon the American domestic trouble. He has particularly announced his 9-9-9 program, which stipulates the 9% VAT, taxing the rich less and the poor — more. Cain criticizes the "Occupy Wall Street!" movement sharply. "If you’re poor, you’re to blame yourself rather than bankers" — Protestant Cain reckons, believing into the "rich are the chosen ones" concept. Cain has also consistently opposed Obama’s health care reform.

Cain’s deuce is the color of his skin. He’s Afro-American like Obama and this fact — a considerable drawback twenty years ago — seems to be an apparent "pro" today (and we have to credit American anti-segregation policy for that). Also, even given the debatableness of his program, Cain is going to concentrate on domestic policy during the presidency. His opponent Mitt Romney sticks to the strictly expansionist foreign-policy instead.

Romney also seems to stick to conservative views. Besides, he’s even more "religious" than Cain — he used to be a Mormon bishop, heading an alignment of a dozen of parishes. This religiousness doesn’t stop Romney from bullshitting the voters when he needs it. At the federal level he acts as a consistent adherent of GOP ideology — stands up against abortions, same-sex marriages and the use of stem cells, protects the people’s rights to have firearms. Within the state, however, he held the rallies, supporting women’s rights for abortions, favored homosexual rights and appealed for greater state control over weapons.

This "flexibility" alienated many right-wing Republicans from Romney. We have to pay peculiar attention to the fact that being the Massachusetts governor, Romney had actually anticipated the main election move of Barack Obama, which Cain dislikes so much — he imposed a compulsory medical insurance for adults at the state territory. Romney tries to make up for hypocrisy and duplicity while dealing with domestic matters, discussing the foreign-policy subjects. That is what he tries to impress the Republican electorate with, allowing himself a very aggressive behavior.

On 7 Oct, holding the stage in Charleston, in front of an auditory mostly consisting of military school students, Romney held a remarkable speech, worth of detailed review — especially the part about the foreign policy of President Romney, which he’s to start from the scratch without continuing Obama’s "reset", which he dubbed feeble.

That’s how Romney started his description of the foreign-policy situation: "Russia is at the historical crossroads now. Vladimir Putin claimed the collapse of the Soviet empire to be a great tragedy of the 20th century. Is he trying to fix what he calls a tragedy and threaten the former Soviet countries into submission and then frighten Europe with its energy whip?" Thus, we may hardly doubt that the reset (actual deeds rather than words) will be stopped right away. European High Commissioners on Energy, Nabucco and the similar projects will feature his utter support. Romney mentioned the closer neighbors, too. Having touched the uneasy criminal situation in Mexico, Romney remembered other American troubles, having questioned in anger: "Will the slanderous Venezuelan socialism of Hugo Chavez tightly cooperating with the calumnious Cuban socialism of Castro undermine the democratic prospects of the region that strives for freedom, stability and prosperity?" We can’t rule out the possibility that if the Middle-Eastern "tyranny" is successfully defeated, the USA might get around to Venezuela too.

And that’s Romney’s interpretation of global strategy: "This century is to be the age of America. During the age of America its economy and army will be the greatest in the world. During the American age our country will lead the free world and the free world itself will lead the rest of the world. Lord created this country not to follow others. American lot is not being one of the equally balanced world powers. America is to head the world unless someone else does that. Deprived of American leadership, the clarity and decisiveness of American goals the world will become a more dangerous place, while freedom and prosperity will surely be the first to collapse. As the President of the United States, I will dedicate my life to the American age and I will never ever excuse for America". Then, showered by fierce applause, Mr. Romney exquisitely glorified the American "unique", "exclusive" and "divine" nature.

Doesn’t that ring a bell? These are the very mottos that Bush and Cheney used, while ascending to power in 2000 and 2004. The results of practical application of this concept are still easy to behold in Iraq and Afghanistan. We may draw a conclusion out of Romney’s speech — he doesn’t move an inch away from the doctrines of American 19th century politicians, who introduced the paradigm of "divine choice" and the "foreordained lot" of America. Following this concept, America fought Canada, "broken" the Japanese isolation and architected the notorious Monroe doctrine, which proclaimed an entire North (and a considerable part of South) America a zone of the U.S. interests. In 1854 the USA sent a message to the rest of the world, claiming that America needs the island of Cuba for the sake of its national security, which is why it has the "divine right" to take it from Spain. Mexico, which bothers Romney today, lost 50% of its territory in the 19th century. History brought us the words of Mexican President Porfirio Diaz, who described the course of Mexican-American relationship in the following way: "Poor Mexico! So far from God it lies and so close to the USA!"

It was George W. Bush, who voiced up the list of American enemies ("Axis of evil"). Romney, however, believes that this list is to be expanded substantially. So who’s the U.S. enemy these days? Mr. Romney gave an exhaustive answer to this question. "Firstly, this is the Islamic fundamentalism, which we’re at war since the 9/11. Secondly, this is the Middle-Eastern struggle between those striving for freedom and those oppressing it. Then go the anti-American concepts of Iranian, North Korean, Venezuelan and Cuban regimes — two of them possess nuclear weapons at that. These powers include the quickly developing countries with covert or new aspirations like China, which dreams of becoming a superpower and the reviving Russia, headed by a man, who considers the Soviet Union great rather than evil".

Is it possible, though, that Russia was included into the list to honor the tradition? Mr. Romney’s speech proves the contrary. Russia is the enemy #1, followed by China and Co. It turned out that would-be-President’s special attitude to Russia was formed since the very childhood: "I was born in 1947, classic baby-boom child. I grew up in the world, which was shaped by a dominant threat to America: the Soviet Communism threat. We’ve been practicing ‘duck and cover’ exercise in school during the Cuban missile crisis, which was triggered by a well-known man with strict borders and specific leaders".

We needed the drones to find secret missile base at Cuba, although we didn’t need them to find Nikita Khrushchev. President Reagan might have negotiated with the Soviet Prime Minster Mikhail Gorbachev and sign the treaties, where each side could have been made accountable. And when we caught the Soviets red0handed, we could’ve drawn the global attention to their sins." Impressive revelations these are, aren’t they? This somehow reminds the McCain’s stories about Vietnam, where he was imprisoned by Commies, almost "Russian proxies". It turns out that psychologically-political portraits of McCain and Romney are almost identical.

Let’s sum it up. In case Herman Cain makes his way to the White House, he’ll fight against financial crisis, unemployment, social unrest, taxes and medical insurances. Romney’s enemies instead are "the reborn, aggressive and lying USSR" with its "bellicose leaders", China and other countries, attempting to carry out an independent foreign policy.

As long as internal U.S. crises are quite systematic, Mitt Romney may easily try to turn America to the path of military affairs. At that, he claimed that he’s not going to beg excuses for his actions anyway. As long as American citizens actually desire a Republican President, the rest of the world will sleep easier if that would be a leader dealing with solely American issues, rather than fanatic, obsessed with "American greatness".

By Alexandre Vishnevsky




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